Florida Floods A Concern As Tropical Cyclone Chances Increase

MIAMI, Florida -- Localized flooding from the Florida panhandle down through the Florida peninsula to the Florida Keys will be a concern this week as widespread moderate rainfall coupled with locally heavy rainfall continues across the Sunshine State due to a broad area of low pressure located in the central Gulf of Mexico.

As of 8:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Tuesday June 4, 2012, NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, issued its tropical weather outlook which forecasts that conditions could become more conducive for development of the low pressure system over the next two days.??

NOAA says that this system has a medium chance (40%) of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northward tonight and Wednesday and more quickly northeastward on Thursday.

The system is already bringing rain and the possibility of localized flooding to much of Florida from Tampa to Daytona Beach to Miami.? The system is also allowing tropical moisture to be drawn up by a southwesterly flow through the Florida peninsula into Central Florida which will result in thunderstorms in the Orlando area and surrounding Central Florida counties.?
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A Flood Watch (mapped in brown) is in effect for portions of southwest Florida and west Florida through Thursday evening.

The latest Spaghetti model forecasts are coming into greater agreement that the system would likely make landfall on Florida's west coast somewhere between Pensacola and Tampa.

If the system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, the first name for the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane season is Andrea.


Here is the list of the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Names (and yes, there is a Wendy Hurricane name this year!):

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dorian
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy?


NOAA is forecasting?an active or extremely active 2013?Atlantic hurricane season this year due to warmer-than-average ocean temperatures, lack of El Ni?o, and a continuation of the atmospheric climate pattern, which includes a strong west African monsoon, that is responsible for the ongoing era of high activity for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995.
Latest satellite imagery:

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NOAA Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM  TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013  FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...  1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ARE LOCATED WELL EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE LOW INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND BEGINS TO MOVE MORE QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD ON THURSDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.   ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  &&  HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.  $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN NNNN 

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/blogspot/ljKHT/~3/WknS7NBNtp0/florida-floods-concern-as-tropical.html

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